medium · Volume Profile Analysis profile-shapes

After a 3-day downtrend in GBP/USD, today's profile forms a b-shape with the POC at 1.2640 and thin volume above 1.2680. The following day opens at 1.2695 — above the prior b-shape's thin upper region.

Which scenario is most consistent with a bullish resolution of the prior b-shape?

  1. Price opens above the thin area, the first two 30-minute periods build volume above 1.2680, and the session closes above the prior b-shape's Value Area High — confirming new upside value acceptance
  2. Price opens above the thin area but then immediately sells all the way back down to the prior session's POC at 1.2640, confirming that the established three-day downtrend remains firmly in place
  3. Price gaps above the prior b-shape and then immediately returns inside the thin upper zone, triggering the value-area fill rule to the downside and a rotation back down toward the prior session POC level
  4. A prior b-shape can only ever resolve in a bullish direction if a subsequent P-shape forms on the very same trading day to confirm and validate the upside before the next session opens

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