hard · Volume Profile Analysis reference-levels-migration

A session on the DAX opens with a gap above the prior-day VAH, rallies to a morning high at the composite monthly POC, then begins selling off during the afternoon. By the final hour, price has retraced below the prior-day VAH and into the prior-day value area.

What does re-entry into the prior-day value area below the VAH signal in auction-market terms?

  1. A gap above the prior-day VAH that is then followed by a close back inside the value area only qualifies as a failed breakout when the close prints below the prior-day POC; a close landing somewhere between the VAH and the POC is structurally neutral and signals nothing at all.
  2. Closing back inside the prior-day value area below the VAH is a bullish development because it confirms that the prior session's value area is still entirely valid and that buyers are clearly defending the lower edge of accepted value as the trading session itself begins to wind down.
  3. Re-entry below the prior-day VAH after failing at the composite monthly POC signals the market rejected the attempted upside discovery; by returning inside prior-day value, the auction is reverting to the prior session's accepted range, which shifts the near-term bias to neutral or bearish.
  4. Re-entry into the prior-day value area only carries genuine structural meaning when it actually happens within the first 90 minutes of the session; once the afternoon trade begins in earnest, any return back inside prior value is just noise and conveys no real auction significance whatsoever.

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