hard · Volume Spread Analysis background-trend-context

A practitioner observes an index that has been falling for several weeks. On Tuesday, a bar appears with a wide spread down and ultra-high volume, closing in the middle of its range. On Wednesday, the market produces a narrow spread up-bar on very low volume. Thursday's bar closes lower than Tuesday's low.

What does the 'negative response' on Thursday reveal about Tuesday's high volume?

  1. The lack of upward response and subsequent break of the low confirms that Tuesday's volume was genuine selling rather than stopping volume.
  2. Thursday's move is instead a classic 'spring,' engineered to catch the very last remaining sellers before a major reversal begins.
  3. Tuesday's volume was in fact a selling climax that successfully cleared out all the remaining weak holders left in the market by then.
  4. Wednesday's thin volume on an up-bar was simply 'no demand,' confirming that professionals were buying aggressively throughout Tuesday's session.

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