medium · Volume Spread Analysis background-trend-context

An index has been falling for two weeks. Today, a bar produces a wide spread down, ultra-high volume, and closes in the upper third of its range. The following bar opens flat and closes down on average volume.

What does this 'Negative Response' reveal?

  1. The move was a 'Shake-out' that successfully cleared all weak holders, as confirmed by the lower volume on the second bar.
  2. The index is in a 'Re-accumulation' phase and requires more time to build a cause.
  3. The initial high-volume buying was insufficient to arrest the supply, and the professionals who bought are now overwhelmed.
  4. The ultra-high volume on the first bar was 'Hidden Selling' disguised as stopping volume.

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