medium · Volume Spread Analysis background-trend-context

A stock approaches its upper trend line (supply line). The spread is narrow, and the volume is significantly lower than the average.

What is the most likely outcome at this boundary?

  1. The trend line will hold and price will likely reverse downward.
  2. A strong gap-up through the line in the next session.
  3. An immediate breakout as supply is exhausted.
  4. Absorption of the supply line followed by a sideways grind.

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