medium · Volume Spread Analysis climaxes-tests-springs-upthrusts

A market is characterized by 'falling pressure' in the background (wide-spread down-bars on low volume). Price arrives at a major support level. Bar 1 dips below support and closes high on low volume. Bar 2 is a wide-spread up-bar that closes high on high volume.

What does the 'falling pressure' background do to the probability of this spring?

  1. It increases the probability because falling pressure indicates the bear move lacked professional conviction from the start.
  2. The background score remains neutral because falling pressure and springs are both low-volume events.
  3. It suggests the spring is a trap because the market has not yet seen a high-volume selling climax.
  4. It decreases the probability because falling pressure is a sign of a lack of professional interest in the asset.

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