medium · Volume Spread Analysis climaxes-tests-springs-upthrusts

An Index has been in a long-term uptrend. It produces an ultra-high volume up-bar into new high ground, but the spread is very narrow and the close is in the middle. The next bar is down.

Which bearish sequence is most likely beginning?

  1. A 'Buying Climax' followed by 'Supply Coming In,' indicating that professionals are capping the market.
  2. The start of accumulation, since ultra-high volume on a bar always signals genuine buying strength.
  3. A deliberate 'Shake-Out' designed to trap short sellers before the market resumes its final leg higher.
  4. A 'Test of a Breakout' that has now attracted far too much unwanted attention from the wider investing public.

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