hard · Volume Spread Analysis climaxes-tests-springs-upthrusts

A stock has rallied strongly for ten weeks. On Monday, a wide-spread up-bar closes at a new high on volume 4.4× average with the close in the top 8% of its range. On Tuesday, price gaps up further intraday but reverses to close below Monday's close on volume 5.7× average, the highest of the entire rally. Wednesday and Thursday churn sideways on volume around 1.1× average. Friday, a narrow-spread up-bar forms on volume 0.4× average, unable to reach Tuesday's high.

Which sequence of labels best fits Monday through Friday?

  1. Monday: warning; Tuesday: Buying Climax; Wednesday-Thursday: distribution building; Friday: No Demand confirms supply in control.
  2. Monday: Buying Climax; Tuesday: unrelated new high; Wednesday-Thursday: accumulation; Friday: renewed demand signaling continuation.
  3. Monday: No Demand; Tuesday: Buying Climax; Wednesday-Thursday: irrelevant noise; Friday: a Spring setting up the next rally leg.
  4. Monday: Buying Climax; Tuesday: Shakeout of latecomers; Wednesday-Thursday: re-accumulation; Friday: Test confirming higher prices ahead.

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