medium · Volume Spread Analysis climaxes-tests-springs-upthrusts

A 'Selling Climax' is traditionally followed by a period of sideways trading.

Why is an immediate V-shaped recovery considered 'unlikely' in standard VSA methodology?

  1. The 'herd instinct' driving crowd psychology needs at least 21 trading days to shift from a state of fear to a state of greed.
  2. Market-makers are barred by exchange rules from marking any price up more than 5% per day after a crash.
  3. Retail traders stay too 'locked-in' near the lows, and their steady selling pressure prevents any real upward movement.
  4. The professionals who absorbed the panic need time to 'test' the market and verify that supply is truly exhausted.

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