medium · Volume Spread Analysis effort-vs-result-spread

An index shows an 'Upthrust' at a resistance level. The next bar is a down-bar, but it has extremely narrow spread and volume is the lowest in 30 days.

According to the 'Negative Response' principle, what does this 'No Selling Pressure' indicate in this context?

  1. The low volume confirms that the 'Upthrust' was successful in scaring away all the buyers.
  2. The 'Upthrust' did not trigger a wave of selling, suggesting that supply is not actually swamping the market and the 'Upthrust' may fail to reverse the trend.
  3. The 'Upthrust' was actually 'Hidden Selling' and the narrow spread is the start of a 'Mushroom Top'.
  4. This is 'No Demand' following an 'Upthrust', which is a 'Strongest Short' setup.

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