hard · Volume Spread Analysis effort-vs-result-spread

A stock is in an uptrend but approaches an old resistance area from six months ago. It gaps up to open above the old resistance on high volume and closes on its high.

How is this interpreted?

  1. As a hidden up-thrust, because the high volume suggests that the professionals are selling into the gap.
  2. As a weak gap-up, because gapping into new territory on high volume is a 'sucker trap' for retail buyers.
  3. As a strong gap-up, as professionals marked the price over resistance to prevent 'locked-in' traders from selling at breakeven.
  4. As absorption volume, where professionals are paying the 'toll' to clear out the supply from the old range.

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