medium · Volume Spread Analysis effort-vs-result-spread

An experienced VSA practitioner identifies a successful test on a daily chart. However, over the next three bars, the price drifts sideways and slightly lower.

What does this 'Negative Response' reveal?

  1. The professionals saw the test but refused to buy, indicating that the background weakness is more significant than the test itself.
  2. The test was 'too perfect,' and the market is now waiting for a second shake-out to confirm the lows.
  3. The market-makers are 'churning' the price to confuse retail traders before the inevitable mark-up.
  4. The relative volume calculation was incorrect, and the 'low volume' was actually average for that time of day.

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