medium · Volume Spread Analysis effort-vs-result-spread

An index produces a wide-spread down-bar that closes near its high on volume that is 2.5× the 20-period average. The next two bars are narrow-range up-bars on very low volume.

What does this 'negative response' suggest about the initial down-bar?

  1. The very low volume on the up-bars simply confirms that the earlier shakeout succeeded as planned.
  2. The initial bar was likely genuine selling because professional buying failed to produce a recovery.
  3. The market is merely resting quietly before the inevitable markup phase begins in earnest.
  4. The ultra-high volume on the down-bar by itself already guaranteed that a solid bottom had formed.

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