easy · Volume Spread Analysis effort-vs-result-spread

A trader sees an up-bar closing on its low on high volume and assumes it is a 'breakout' because the volume is high.

What is the fundamental error in this reasoning?

  1. Mistaking a narrow spread for a clear, obvious sign of market-maker indecision.
  2. Assuming the close position matters far less than the simple open-to-close direction of price.
  3. Ignoring the plain fact that valid breakouts must always occur strictly on low, quiet volume to count.
  4. Failing to recognize that high volume on an up-move often contains professional distribution.

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