medium · Volume Spread Analysis supply-demand-smart-money

An index has been rising for months. You identify a stock that has failed to hit a new high for three weeks while the index was still climbing. During a small index pullback, this stock falls 8%, much more than its peers.

What does this indicate?

  1. The stock is a prime candidate for a 'Spring' because it has successfully been shaken out before the rest of the market.
  2. The stock is showing relative weakness because professionals have already distributed it and are no longer providing support.
  3. Market rotation is just starting, and this stock will be the first to hit new highs once the index recovery begins.
  4. The 'Bag Holding' signal is in effect, and professionals are waiting for the price to reach an attractive re-accumulation level.

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