medium · Volume Spread Analysis wyckoff-phases-schematics
A stock is in an accumulation phase. Suddenly, a negative earnings report is released. The price gaps down sharply but closes on the high of the day with ultra-high volume.
How should this be interpreted?
- A 'Trap Up-Move' designed to entice buyers into a falling market before the markdown continues.
- A failed test of supply, indicating that the market-makers were unable to support the price even with high volume.
- A genuine breakdown confirming that the company's fundamentals have deteriorated beyond the point of recovery.
- A news-driven shake-out where professionals use the panic selling of weak holders to complete their accumulation campaign.
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