medium · Volume Spread Analysis wyckoff-phases-schematics

In a bearish sequence, why does an up-thrust after a period of distribution carry a higher probability of success than one in a neutral trend?

  1. Up-thrusts are mathematical certainty indicators that do not require background analysis.
  2. The distribution phase guarantees that there are no remaining strong holders in the security.
  3. The background weakness confirms that supply is already dominant, and the up-thrust is the final trap.
  4. A neutral trend simply lacks the volatility required for an up-thrust to reach necessary buy-stop levels.

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