hard · Volume Spread Analysis wyckoff-phases-schematics

Why is 'Ultra-High Volume' on an up-bar often a warning of weakness rather than a sign of strength?

  1. It signifies that the 'strong holders' behind the market have exhausted their available capital and can no longer support the rising price.
  2. Ultra-high volume indicates that retail traders are all rushing to buy at once in a frenzy, a pattern that VSA claims always precedes a crash.
  3. It indicates that supply is entering the market in large enough quantities to be potentially absorbed by professionals as distribution.
  4. It means the market has become technically 'overbought' and must therefore mathematically revert back to its simple moving average.

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