medium · Asset-Backed Securities

If an auto ABS deal is structured with 15.00% credit enhancement but the rating agency determines the break-even loss rate is only 13.50% under AAA stress, which of the following is most likely true?

  1. The deal will be upsized to take advantage of the excess credit enhancement.
  2. The agency will reduce the loss multiple to allow the deal to achieve a AAA rating.
  3. The excess 1.50% will be returned to the originator as a gain-on-sale.
  4. The senior tranche will likely be rated lower than AAA because it fails the required stress test.

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