medium · Asset-Backed Securities

An investor is evaluating a CMBS Interest-Only (IO) tranche. The underlying pool features strong 'Defeasance' protection.

If interest rates rise significantly, which of the following best describes the likely impact on the IO investor?

  1. The IO cash flows will decrease because the 'Available Funds Cap' will trigger higher interest shortfalls.
  2. The IO's credit quality will deteriorate as rising rates lead to higher term defaults across the multifamily sector.
  3. The IO value is likely to be stable or increase as the probability of early voluntary prepayment (refinancing) drops.
  4. The IO tranche's value will decline sharply due to increased prepayment risk.

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