hard · Asset-Backed Securities

An analyst is comparing two RMBS tranches. Tranche X is a sequential-pay AAA with 20% subordination. Tranche Y is a pro-rata AAA with 20% subordination.

In a severe housing downturn where losses are front-loaded, which statement best describes the relative risk profile?

  1. Tranche X is safer because its subordination percentage grows as it amortizes first.
  2. Tranche Y is safer because pro-rata structures are only allowed for the highest quality pools.
  3. Both are equally safe as they both possess 20% initial subordination.
  4. Tranche Y is safer because it returns principal to all holders simultaneously, reducing duration.

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