medium · Debt Capital Markets pricing-yields-curve

An investor is analyzing a PIK-toggle note and notices that the Yield-to-Worst (YTW) is currently equivalent to the Yield-to-Maturity (YTM) assuming cash pay.

What does this suggest about the toggle option?

  1. The market expects the issuer to pay cash through maturity because the PIK coupon is economically unattractive to the issuer
  2. The issuer has already defaulted and the distressed bond is now trading purely on an estimated recovery value
  3. The contractual PIK rate is set below the cash coupon, creating an unusual 'negative step-up' on the toggle election
  4. The bond is widely expected to be called at the very first call date at a meaningful cash premium to its outstanding par value

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