hard · FRM Part 1

A GARCH(1,1) model's persistence is 0.90. If today's variance is 10% above the long-run mean, what percentage of that 'excess' variance will remain in the forecast for 20 days from now?

  1. 0.1%
  2. 12.2%
  3. 1.0%
  4. 10.0%

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