medium · FRM Part 1

An investor notes that the convenience yield for Natural Gas is 15% in winter and 2% in summer.

Assuming r and u are constant at 4% and 3% respectively, how does the curve shape change?

  1. Contango in winter; Backwardation in summer.
  2. Backwardation in both seasons.
  3. Backwardation in winter; Contango in summer.
  4. Contango in both seasons.

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