hard · FRM Part 1

An analyst is evaluating a GARCH(1,1) model where the parameters are estimated as ω = 0.000004, α = 0.07, and β = 0.91.

If the current daily volatility is 2.5% and the long-run average daily volatility is 2.0%, what is the expected daily volatility in 20 days?

  1. 2.24%
  2. 2.50%
  3. 2.34%
  4. 2.00%

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