hard · FRM Part 1

A risk manager is performing a 'backtest' of a 99% one-day VaR model over a 250-day window.

If the model is correctly calibrated, what is the probability of observing exactly 5 exceptions using the binomial distribution?

  1. 92.00%
  2. 1.00%
  3. 10.50%
  4. 6.66%

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