easy · FRM Part 1 Valuation and Risk Models

In a transition matrix, the values located on the main diagonal (from top-left to bottom-right) represent:

  1. The probability of an obligor's rating remaining unchanged over the period.
  2. The probability of a two-notch upgrade occurring within the period.
  3. The average recovery rate assigned to obligors within each credit rating class.
  4. The probability that an obligor defaults on its obligations sometime within the period.

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