medium · FRM Part 2 Current Issues
An asset manager analyzing the 2022 collapse of a major algorithmic ('seigniorage-style') stablecoin and its paired governance token wants to explain to its board why the de-peg accelerated into a near-total collapse rather than self-correcting.
Which statement MOST precisely identifies the reflexive mechanism that turned a modest de-peg into a self-reinforcing 'death spiral'?
- The arbitrage that should restore the peg relies on minting the volatile sister token to absorb selling pressure; once confidence drops, that minting dilutes and collapses the sister token's price, destroying the very backstop value the mechanism depends on and amplifying redemptions.
- The collapse occurred because the stablecoin's fiat reserves were held in long-duration Treasury bonds that declined in value as interest rates rose, so a reserve shortfall mechanically broke the peg once redemption demand exceeded the cash available for immediate settlement.
- Over-collateralization with the sister token meant the system held comfortably more than 100% backing at all times, so the de-peg should have self-corrected automatically through arbitrage, and the collapse can only be explained by an exchange abruptly and unilaterally halting redemptions.
- The death spiral arose purely from a smart-contract exploit that let an anonymous attacker quietly mint an unlimited quantity of stablecoins, an isolated operational failure entirely unrelated to the underlying economic design of the peg mechanism itself.
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