medium · FRM Part 2 Market Risk

A risk analyst is comparing the Vasicek and Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) term structure models.

If the objective is to ensure that nominal interest rates cannot become negative, which model is appropriate and what is the underlying mathematical constraint?

  1. CIR; the Feller condition ensures that the mean-reversion level θ is always positive.
  2. Vasicek; the mean-reversion speed k is calibrated to be higher than the volatility σ.
  3. CIR; volatility scales with √(r_t), causing volatility to vanish as rates approach zero.
  4. Vasicek; it is an equilibrium model that assumes rates must stay positive to maintain economic stability.

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