medium · FRM Part 2 Risk & Investment Management
A Chief Risk Officer is concerned about 'volatility laundering' in the bank's private equity portfolio.
Which statistical indicator and which structural mechanism are most likely responsible for understated risk in these holdings?
- High first-order autocorrelation in returns; stale or managed appraisal-based marks that smooth price changes over time.
- Low information coefficient; a lack of independent forecasting signals available within the illiquid market segment.
- High excess kurtosis; the embedded leverage in private equity deal structures that creates fatter return tails.
- Negative return skewness; the use of survival bias by reporting only the fund's successful realized exits.
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