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hard · GMAT Quantitative Reasoning

A weld-inspection camera flags a unit as defective with probability 0.85 if the unit is defective and probability 0.15 if it is not. After a positive flag, the posterior probability that the unit is defective is 0.4.

What prior probability of defect is implied?

  1. 17/20
  2. 2/5
  3. 2/19
  4. 1/2
  5. 17/19

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