hard · GMAT Verbal
When a central bank communicates a likely path for policy rates, it is not merely forecasting. The announcement itself can move longer-term yields if investors treat the path as a commitment rather than a conditional projection. That distinction matters. A path presented as a commitment can compress term premia and ease financial conditions immediately, which is useful when the policy rate is already near a lower bound. It is costly if incoming data later require a reversal, because the bank must then spend credibility to undo an expectation it helped to form. A path presented as data-dependent preserves flexibility but may fail to ease conditions if markets discount it as cheap talk. Central banks therefore choose not only a rate but a communication regime, trading the present value of easier conditions against the future cost of rewriting the script.
According to the passage, presenting a rate path as a commitment can be useful when
- the policy rate is near a lower bound.
- inflation can never be measured accurately.
- banks have no depositors at all.
- term premia can never move.
- incoming data never change.
Sign up free to see the explanation and track your rank →
More GMAT Verbal practice
- What logical role do the first two statements play?
- Which of the following is the conclusion?
- A gardener says: 'All roses in this garden require daily wat… — What is the role of the st
- What is the conclusion?
- What is the conclusion?
- Which statement is the conclusion?
- What is the conclusion?
- What logical role does the first sentence play in the researcher's argument?