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medium · GMAT Verbal Reasoning

If the economy enters a recession, unemployment will rise. Unemployment has risen. Therefore, the economy has entered a recession.

What is the logical flaw in this argument?

  1. It denies the antecedent and draws an invalid inference.
  2. It affirms the consequent, concluding the cause from the effect.
  3. It generalizes hastily from a single unrepresentative sample.
  4. It commits a slippery-slope fallacy, predicting a chain of consequences.
  5. It is a circular argument that quietly assumes its own conclusion.

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