medium · GMAT Verbal

Consider the following argument: 'Every time the local sports team wins a home game, the city's stock index rises the next day. Therefore, the team's victories are boosting the local economy.'

Which of the following best identifies the logical flaw in this argument?

  1. It assumes that the stock index is the only valid measure of the local economy.
  2. It overgeneralizes from a small and unrepresentative sample of home games.
  3. It concludes that the team's victories will continue indefinitely into the future.
  4. It treats a correlation between two events as proof of a direct causal relationship.
  5. It fails to establish that the team's wins are not themselves caused by a thriving economy.

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