medium · GMAT Verbal

An analyst predicts that the price of gold will increase because global economic uncertainty is rising. The analyst assumes that investors always buy gold as a 'safe haven' during times of uncertainty.

Which of the following would be most useful to know in evaluating the analyst's conclusion?

  1. Whether the term 'safe haven' is applied in precisely the same way by every single major financial institution and ratings agency worldwide today
  2. The prevailing market price of physical gold currently being quoted across several different major international currencies and trading venues
  3. The total quantity of physical gold bullion that is presently being held within the world's various combined central bank reserves
  4. Whether this particular analyst's earlier published market forecasts on commodity and precious-metal prices ultimately proved to be accurate over time
  5. Whether currently rising interest rates make alternative assets sufficiently attractive to divert capital away from gold even amid uncertainty

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