medium · GRE Verbal

Researchers evaluating a flood-warning application observed that evacuation compliance rose among application users. They concluded that the application caused compliance. The observation is suggestive, but users had previously experienced more severe floods; until that possibility is separated from the intervention, the causal interpretation remains provisional. Which statement can be inferred from the passage?

  1. The identified alternative is certainly the sole cause of the observed change
  2. The intervention is more effective than every competing policy not discussed in the passage
  3. The observed change is compatible with the proposed explanation but does not by itself establish that explanation
  4. The proposed intervention never produces the claimed effect in any population, even under conditions that eliminate the alternative identified by the author
  5. Every comparable investigation has found the same association

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