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medium · GRE Verbal Reasoning

Historians have long attributed the sharp decline in nineteenth-century urban mortality to advances in medicine. A competing account, now widely favored, credits instead the unglamorous work of sanitary engineering: sewers, filtered water, and refuse collection. Its proponents note that death rates in several cities fell steeply decades before the germ theory of disease was accepted, let alone before effective drugs existed—a sequence the medical explanation struggles to accommodate. Skeptics counter that sanitation itself was often justified by emerging medical ideas, so the two causes are entangled rather than rival. Yet even they concede that clean water did its work whether or not the officials who supplied it understood why, a concession that tilts the balance toward the engineers.

The passage suggests that the strongest evidence against the purely medical explanation of declining mortality is that

  1. Sanitation projects were themselves frequently justified by medical ideas.
  2. Clean water reduced deaths regardless of whether officials understood why.
  3. The medical and sanitary causes are entangled rather than truly rival.
  4. Mortality began to fall before medicine could plausibly explain it.
  5. Historians had for a long time preferred the medical explanation.

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