easy · GRE Verbal

A long-standing view in labor history holds that the northern migration of American workers in the early twentieth century was driven chiefly by the pull of industrial wages. Recent quantitative work reorders this picture. Analyzing county-level records, economists find that departures spiked most sharply where the boll weevil had devastated cotton yields—often a year or two before any wage signal from northern factories could plausibly have reached rural households. The finding does not overturn the wage explanation so much as resequence it: environmental shocks appear to have set families in motion, after which wage differences shaped where they settled. The migration, on this account, was propelled first by what workers were fleeing and only later by what they were seeking.

Which of the following best describes the relationship the passage draws between environmental shocks and wage differences?

  1. Wage differences caused the environmental shocks that later forced families to leave their farms.
  2. The two factors operated at the very same time and quite independently of each other.
  3. Wage differences by themselves are sufficient to account for the timing of the migration.
  4. Environmental shocks set the migration in motion, while wage differences shaped its destination.
  5. Environmental shocks made any migration impossible until northern factory wages rose.

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