medium · MCAT chem-phys

A statistics student finds a p-value of 0.03 in a study comparing a new drug to a placebo.

What is the most accurate interpretation of this result?

  1. The null hypothesis has been proven to be false.
  2. The drug is 97% likely to be effective in the general population.
  3. There is a 3% probability of obtaining these results if the drug has no effect.
  4. The effect of the drug is large and clinically significant.

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