medium · MCAT psych-soc

A medical student is asked to identify whether a patient belongs to a specific demographic group known for a high prevalence of Type 2 diabetes. The student observes that the patient is sedentary and consumes a high-sugar diet, which perfectly matches her 'mental model' of a diabetic patient. She concludes the patient is diabetic, ignoring the fact that the patient's specific sub-demographic actually has a very low base rate for the disease.

Which heuristic is at play?

  1. Confirmation bias
  2. Representativeness heuristic
  3. Belief perseverance
  4. Availability heuristic

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