medium · Order Flow Analysis absorption-exhaustion-imbalance

A 10-year Treasury (ZN) footprint bar shows a diagonal ratio of 350% at three consecutive levels. However, the bid volume at these levels is only $400 to 500 contracts.

Given the market's specific characteristics, how should this signal be handled?

  1. The trader should wait for a pullback to the middle of the zone before entering a small 'test' position.
  2. It should be ignored as noise because the absolute volume is too low to represent institutional conviction in ZN.
  3. It should be traded with standard size because the 350% ratio meets the technical definition of a stacked imbalance.
  4. This is a 'thin' breakout and is more powerful than a high-volume breakout due to the lack of resistance.

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