medium · Order Flow Analysis absorption-exhaustion-imbalance

A 5-minute ES bar shows buying imbalances in the upper wick but the bar body contains a stacked selling imbalance and closes near the low.

What is the narrative of this bar?

  1. Buyers tried to push the high but were aggressively overwhelmed by sellers.
  2. The sessions cumulative delta is likely hitting a fresh new daily high.
  3. The market found fair value up at the high and is now peacefully consolidating.
  4. Aggressive buyers are successfully absorbing every single resting sell order in the book.

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