medium · Order Flow Analysis absorption-exhaustion-imbalance
After an absorption zone at $72.50 in Crude Oil (CL) breaks to the upside, the breakout bar shows a volume of 300 contracts (well below the session average) and a delta of +50.
How should the trader respond?
- Wait for a pullback to $72.50 and enter long with a limit order, regardless of the breakout bar's internals.
- Do not enter; the thin volume and weak delta suggest a false breakout that is likely to reverse.
- Enter short, as a low-volume breakout is a guaranteed reversal signal.
- Enter long immediately, as any break above the absorption zone is a bullish signal.
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