medium · Order Flow Analysis absorption-exhaustion-imbalance

In Corn futures (ZC), a 15-minute bar shows the Commitment of Traders (COT) at the very high of the range. The bar has a diagonal ratio of 4.5:1 Ask volume to Bid volume at that COT level.

If the bar's open was $378.00 and its close is $378.25, which of the following confirms a 'Cap' signal by a passive seller?

  1. The bar closes on its low with a delta reading of positive twenty-five hundred contracts traded
  2. The price fails to advance despite heavy Ask volume at the high, and the subsequent bar opens lower.
  3. The bar high shows absolutely zero Bid volume, and the COT sits located in the middle of the upper wick
  4. The 4.5:1 diagonal ratio of Ask volume to Bid volume is maintained consistently across the entire body of the bar

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