medium · Order Flow Analysis absorption-exhaustion-imbalance

What does a rising price accompanied by falling Open Interest (OI) typically indicate about a rally?

  1. New institutional buying is clearly what is driving this entire move higher overall.
  2. Demand is perfectly meeting supply at these newly established, higher price levels overall.
  3. The market is entering into a durable, long-term institutional accumulation phase across the board.
  4. The rally is driven by short covering (trapped traders exiting) and is likely unsustainable.

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