medium · Order Flow Analysis absorption-exhaustion-imbalance

During a FOMC announcement, the price of ES spikes 20 points, then drops 15 in 90 seconds. A trader sees a 'clean' bar at 2:05 PM with stacked selling imbalances at the spike high and a COT at the top.

What does this indicate?

  1. Institutions are selling the news into the initial retail panic
  2. A gap-and-go initiative buying move is forming at the top
  3. The market is entering a fresh trend-continuation phase to the upside
  4. The auction at the high is unfinished and will likely be retested soon

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