medium · Order Flow Analysis absorption-exhaustion-imbalance
A corn (ZC) trader notices an iceberg on the bid at 375.00 that absorbed 380 contracts over 5 minutes. The bar closes at 375.25. On the next bar, the market breaks 375.00 with ∆ = -1200 and stacked selling imbalances.
What does this tell the trader?
- It is a 'false breakout' and the iceberg will hold
- The market is entering a period of low-volatility consolidation
- The passive buyer has been overwhelmed and the support has failed
- A 'stop hunt' is occurring before a rally
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