medium · Order Flow Analysis absorption-exhaustion-imbalance
At the low of a 15-minute ZN (10-Year Treasury) bar, the bid volume is $15 and the adjacent level total volume is $520. The ratio R_extreme = 520 / 17 ≈ 30.6.
What is the setup and entry trigger?
- Stacked selling imbalance; enter short on a retracement to the 520 level.
- Bearish divergence; enter short because the sellers pushed the price to a new low.
- Iceberg absorption; enter long at the 520 level with a stop 5 ticks away.
- Single-print exhaustion; enter long when the bar closes higher with a stop 1 tick below the low.
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