easy · Order Flow Analysis absorption-exhaustion-imbalance

A trader sees a short signal in the E-mini S&P 500 (ES) but notices that the 10-Year Treasury (ZN) is also showing a strong selling imbalance at its lows.

What should the trader do?

  1. Be cautious or reduce size, as 'risk-off' assets should typically move opposite to equities.
  2. Ignore the Treasury market; ZN moves too slowly to affect index futures pricing.
  3. Only trade the Treasury (ZN) instead, since it is showing higher relative volume.
  4. Double the position size immediately, since two correlated markets are confirming the same directional selling pressure.

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