hard · Order Flow Analysis absorption-exhaustion-imbalance
In the Crude Oil (CL) market, a bar pushes to a session high of $75.00. The footprint shows 1,200 contracts traded at the offer (ask) at $75.00, while only 45 contracts trade at the bid at that same price. Price fails to move to $75.01 and subsequently closes the bar at $74.85.
What specific order flow phenomenon is occurring?
- Institutional capping via passive selling, where a large limit order absorbed all aggressive buying.
- Buyer exhaustion, where thin bid participation shows no one stepped up to support the highs.
- A buying imbalance forming at the session high, serving as a structural support level for future retests.
- Aggressive buying dominance at the high, signaling a high-probability breakout continuation on the next bar.
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